The US received a number of advantages in being the world's reserve
currency, especially in the years following the breakdown of the Bretton
Woods system – the US cost of financing was much lower than that of other
countries, allowing it to run greater trade
and financial deficits than those possible for other
countries.
However, such a system encourages economies to run excessive deficits, leaving inflation as the
only escape. The current global currency system is unsustainable –
it has not been effective in dealing with the financial
crisis; the US has a large deficit
that it may need to inflate its way out of; and emerging economies have had the incentive to
continually undervalue their currencies against the USD to make their exports more attractive, now believing that they would
not succeed if they allowed their currencies
to appreciate naturally.
Then what is the alternative?
Restoring the gold standard is impractical – a pure gold standard tends to
be deflationary, while a not-so-pure gold standard based on derivatives could
be manipulated like the current currency system.
A global currency is another possibility, and was suggested by John Maynard Keynes. However, current problems
with the eurozone highlight how unrealistic it is to have a single
currency representing relatively independent economies, with widely varying
industries and political systems To be successful, a common
currency would require a loss of sovereign power to a certain degree, with one
agency overseeing trade policy, including limiting surpluses and monetary
policy to avoid inflationary temptations.
Another alternative was suggested in early 2011 when the IMF issued a report on Special Drawing Rights (SDR) as a replacement
for the USD as the world’s reserve currency.
In 1969, SDR's were created as a more limited
global currency. They can be converted into a required currency at exchange
rates based on a weighted-basket of currencies.
When the IMF issues funds to economies, they are typically dominated in SDRs, the largest such issue being the
equivalent of USD250 billion in April 2009 in response to the private-lending
collapse in the financial crisis.
It is argued that they would be a less volatile alternative to the dollar,
despite not being a tangible currency.
Increasing the global role of SDRs and issuing more SDRs would reduce the
current problem of recessionary bias – during and after financial crises, the
burden of adjusting to payments imbalances falls on nations running large
deficits, the US in particular – by allowing central banks to
exchange the SDRs for hard currency, rather than exchanging dollars.
This would also reduce the need for countries to accumulate reserves,
facilitating a reduction in the global imbalances that result from countries
stockpiling USDs. And, the smaller scale of SDRs would help
sustain the recovery of the global economy without leading to inflation. That
being said, the final point is dependent on the IMF members limiting the
introduction of SDRs into the market over the next few years.
If you have an opinion on the future direction of the USD, or which
currencies will perform well in the global economy, why not try forex trading? Trading is available on a range of
currencies, the most common currency pairs being the EUR/USD, GBP/USD, JPY/USD,
USD/CHF and AUD/USD.
Remember that CFDs and forex trading are leveraged products and can lead to losses that exceed your 1st deposit. CFD trading may not be appropriate for everybody, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks concerned.
Thursday, August 4, 2011
Monday, August 1, 2011
Spreads and forex trading
Currency exchange is
often advertised as being
a commission-free market, with no exchange charges, regulatory
charges or data charges.
However, currency
exchange providers do need to
earn money somewhere, and this is
generally done through ask/buy spreads.
The
ask/buy spread is how a currency pair is quoted; the ask
price is the price at which traders can sell the pair, while the
buy price is the price at which traders can buy the pair. If
the EUR/USD pair was quoted at 1.4441 / 1.444, traders could sell
the pair at 1.4441 and buy it at 1.4444. This is a
range of 3 pips, or 3 units of 0.0001.
There are 3
ways in which most currency exchange
providers earn money on spreads, through
offering fixed spreads, variable spreads or a commission based on a percentage of the spread.
In the case of the
EUR / USD forex pair, if you were trading through a currency
exchange provider that offered a fixed
spread, the quoted spread would always be 3 pips, regardless
of market liquidity.
Currency
exchange providers that offer variable spreads
could have spreads as little as one pip, or as big
as 5. These spreads are typically
based on the liquidity of a currency pair; if
the pair is awfully liquid, the spread is
generally narrower, and if the pair is not, the spread
is generally broader. The most
commonly traded currency pairs , for example
the USD/JPY, USD/CHF, GBP/USD, AUD/USD and EUR / USD, are more liquid and have lower spreads.
By contrast, exotic currency pairs , for example the USD/ZAR, are traded less
frequently so are less liquid and sometimes have
higher spreads.
Variable spreads could also alter
at different times of the trading day or different times of
the week when the volume of fx trades is higher or lower.
Other currency
exchange providers may charge a small commission
, for example two-tenths of a pip (or 0.00002), and then pass
your order onto an enormous market maker with whom it has a relationship. Such an arrangement could end in you receiving tight spreads that only
huge traders could receive otherwise.
So which is best?
Fixed spreads may protect traders from slippage,
which is when your trade is executed at a different price to the one you were
offered, due to underlying market liquidity. You may also
always know what price you may pay for a currency pair.
But in the long run this
frequently works out to be costlier
than variable spreads.
In the case of forex providers that charge
commissions, it is worth finding out what else
the provider is offering. If you are charged a 0.00002 commission on
your trade, but are offered a software platform that is better than most online providers, it could be worth paying the additional cost.
Variable spreads are
attractive because they should mirror the underlying
market ; however, the
effectiveness of this depends on
how well providers can make the market.
As currency
exchange is an OTC market, banks, the first market makers, have
relations with other banks and online currency
exchange providers, and these
relations are based mostly on the capitalisation and
credit standing of each
establishment. Foreign exchange providers that
offer variable spreads will be able to pass on more
competitive spreads to its clients if they are
well-capitalised and have a good relationship with a
bunch of credible banks.
Remember that CFDs and forex trading are leveraged products and can result in losses that exceed your 1st deposit. CFD trading may not be appropriate for everybody, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks concerned.
often advertised as being
a commission-free market, with no exchange charges, regulatory
charges or data charges.
However, currency
exchange providers do need to
earn money somewhere, and this is
generally done through ask/buy spreads.
The
ask/buy spread is how a currency pair is quoted; the ask
price is the price at which traders can sell the pair, while the
buy price is the price at which traders can buy the pair. If
the EUR/USD pair was quoted at 1.4441 / 1.444, traders could sell
the pair at 1.4441 and buy it at 1.4444. This is a
range of 3 pips, or 3 units of 0.0001.
There are 3
ways in which most currency exchange
providers earn money on spreads, through
offering fixed spreads, variable spreads or a commission based on a percentage of the spread.
In the case of the
EUR / USD forex pair, if you were trading through a currency
exchange provider that offered a fixed
spread, the quoted spread would always be 3 pips, regardless
of market liquidity.
Currency
exchange providers that offer variable spreads
could have spreads as little as one pip, or as big
as 5. These spreads are typically
based on the liquidity of a currency pair; if
the pair is awfully liquid, the spread is
generally narrower, and if the pair is not, the spread
is generally broader. The most
commonly traded currency pairs , for example
the USD/JPY, USD/CHF, GBP/USD, AUD/USD and EUR / USD, are more liquid and have lower spreads.
By contrast, exotic currency pairs , for example the USD/ZAR, are traded less
frequently so are less liquid and sometimes have
higher spreads.
Variable spreads could also alter
at different times of the trading day or different times of
the week when the volume of fx trades is higher or lower.
Other currency
exchange providers may charge a small commission
, for example two-tenths of a pip (or 0.00002), and then pass
your order onto an enormous market maker with whom it has a relationship. Such an arrangement could end in you receiving tight spreads that only
huge traders could receive otherwise.
So which is best?
Fixed spreads may protect traders from slippage,
which is when your trade is executed at a different price to the one you were
offered, due to underlying market liquidity. You may also
always know what price you may pay for a currency pair.
But in the long run this
frequently works out to be costlier
than variable spreads.
In the case of forex providers that charge
commissions, it is worth finding out what else
the provider is offering. If you are charged a 0.00002 commission on
your trade, but are offered a software platform that is better than most online providers, it could be worth paying the additional cost.
Variable spreads are
attractive because they should mirror the underlying
market ; however, the
effectiveness of this depends on
how well providers can make the market.
As currency
exchange is an OTC market, banks, the first market makers, have
relations with other banks and online currency
exchange providers, and these
relations are based mostly on the capitalisation and
credit standing of each
establishment. Foreign exchange providers that
offer variable spreads will be able to pass on more
competitive spreads to its clients if they are
well-capitalised and have a good relationship with a
bunch of credible banks.
Remember that CFDs and forex trading are leveraged products and can result in losses that exceed your 1st deposit. CFD trading may not be appropriate for everybody, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks concerned.
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